Negative Fluctuations
Negative fluctuations happen because "Endplay Thinking" does not give you adequate
insight into what is happening with the deck. Virtually every card counting system
out there today is based on the brilliant scholar and all around good guy Edward
Thorp’s "Endplay Thinking." While his logic was brilliant for 1962 and with
all due respect for this great man, it has become dated. It’s time to join the twenty
first century of card counting.
What I mean by "Endplay Thinking" is, you count cards and use a (sometimes
complicated) mathematical formula to determine what percentage of good cards, compared
to the bad cards, are left in the deck. The more good cards, the higher the count
and the better your odds.
For example, you are playing blackjack one day and the
count is plus fifteen. This is a good thing, but let's say that a plus 15, after
we use a conversion rate to determine the true count, means, that out of the 40 cards
left in the deck and 30 of them are good cards. However, in spite of the 75%
favorable odds, you wind up getting a bad hand and have to draw a card that busts
your hand. The odds were in your favor, but you lost anyway; Why? Negative fluctuations.
Just because three out of four of the cards left in the deck are good ones, it doesn't
mean that the next ten cards to come out aren’t going to be
the bad cards, all bunched up together. This can and often does happen.
In order for you to learn
to control negative fluctuations you need to know what the next group of cards will
be, as they are flowing out of the deck. End play thinking cannot tell
you this.
In order to calculate
the odds on what the next group of cards is going to be you have to watch how the
cards are flowing out of the deck and look for patterns. I know, I hear you saying,
“That’s impossible, the cards come out of the deck randomly and in no particular
order.” This is “intuitive thinking.” The cards do actually come out in patterns
and in cycles. (See the
"Flow Method"
It is a natural god given law of the universe that things will run good for while
and then bad for while and many variations in between.
The reason most people are not making millions of dollars with card counting is they believe that "Endplay
Thinking" will help them predict the next group of cards, but it won't. They
believe that when the deck loads up it means that the odds of getting a good card
have improved. Although this sounds logical, it's not, it is “intuitive thinking.”
There is absolutely no mathematical basis in "Endplay Thinking" to determine what
the next card is going to be. This “intuitive thinking”
is what generates negative fluctuations
In my book,
"Guaranteed Card Counting Secrets" I go into much more detail as to what these
patterns are, how to find them and how you can predict what the next card or group
of cards is going to be, with very good accuracy. The only things the casinos
can do to stop the "Flow" method is, stack the deck, cheat or just stop dealing
the game!