Negative Fluctuations

Negative fluctuations happen because "Endplay Thinking" does not give you adequate insight into what is happening with the deck. Virtually every card counting system out there today is based on the brilliant scholar and all around good guy Edward Thorp’s "Endplay Thinking." While his logic was brilliant for 1962 and with all due respect for this great man, it has become dated. It’s time to join the twenty first century of card counting.

What I mean by "Endplay Thinking" is, you count cards and use a (sometimes complicated) mathematical formula to determine what percentage of good cards, compared to the bad cards, are left in the deck. The more good cards, the higher the count and the better your odds.

For example, you are playing blackjack one day and the count is plus fifteen. This is a good thing, but let's say that a plus 15, after we use a conversion rate to determine the true count, means, that out of the 40 cards left in the deck and 30 of them are good cards. However, in spite of the 75% favorable odds, you wind up getting a bad hand and have to draw a card that busts your hand. The odds were in your favor, but you lost anyway; Why? Negative fluctuations. Just because three out of four of the cards left in the deck are good ones, it doesn't mean that the next ten cards to come out aren’t going to be the bad cards, all bunched up together. This can and often does happen.

In order for you to learn to control negative fluctuations you need to know what the next group of cards will be, as they are flowing out of the deck. End play thinking cannot tell you this.

In order to calculate the odds on what the next group of cards is going to be you have to watch how the cards are flowing out of the deck and look for patterns. I know, I hear you saying, “That’s impossible, the cards come out of the deck randomly and in no particular order.” This is “intuitive thinking.” The cards do actually come out in patterns and in cycles. (See the "Flow Method" It is a natural god given law of the universe that things will run good for while and then bad for while and many variations in between.

The reason most people are not making millions of dollars with card counting is they believe that "Endplay Thinking" will help them predict the next group of cards, but it won't. They believe that when the deck loads up it means that the odds of getting a good card have improved. Although this sounds logical, it's not, it is “intuitive thinking.” There is absolutely no mathematical basis in "Endplay Thinking" to determine what the next card is going to be. This “intuitive thinking” is what generates negative fluctuations

In my book, "Guaranteed Card Counting Secrets" I go into much more detail as to what these patterns are, how to find them and how you can predict what the next card or group of cards is going to be, with very good accuracy. The only things the casinos can do to stop the "Flow" method is, stack the deck, cheat or just stop dealing the game!