The "Flow Method" of Card Counting.
Back in 1962 when Edward Thorpe
developed his (brilliant for the day) "end play" system, a TV with an antenna on
a tower was the best technology available. Then came cable and revolutionized
this form of entertainment. Next, came the transition to digital and established
itself as a vastly superior system. Reception today is so much better compared to
back in 1962 that it is truly amazing.
A very similar thing is now
happening to card counting. First there was Thorpe's "end play" system.
Next came the guys from MIT that maximize the strengths of the system, but, they
only used a band aid to fix an ulcer. End play systems are just plain unreliable
Most of the ways of counting
cards that are available today are based on the science and technologies of more
than 47 years ago. They still rely on "Endplay" to figure out what is left in the
deck, but in 1962, they didn't have automatic shuffling machines and the computerized
random number generators used by the online casinos.
Don't misunderstand, me while
"End play" thinking and MIT strategies do still work (somewhat), the same way a
TV will still work with an antenna, this system is antiquated. The casino have moved
on, it's time a card counting does too.
Incredible advances in card
counting have forever improved the game of blackjack. Today for the first time ever
we have the "quantum theory" of card counting known as the "flow" method.
A brand new way of counting cards that is radical change from any previous card
counting systems. There are only two things the casinos can do to stop the flow
method; stack the deck (which would backfire) or stop dealing the game.
With "Endplay Thinking" you
must keep track of every single card that you are dealt and every single card dealt
to every other player and every single card dealt to the dealer. You must count
every single card flawlessly and add or subtract it from the "Running Count." Then
convert this number to get the "True Count." This number is then compared to numbers
on a counting chart to figure out how to bet and play. The only way to become any
good with a system this complicated is to practice and practice and practice some
more. It can take a very long time, if not several years, to become good enough
at these methods for them to be practical. You need to work hard, practice constantly
and learn to count flawlessly.
However, with the flow method, the
individual cards are not given values that you have to remember and then added or
subtracted from a running count. You don't have to convert anything to a true count,
nor compare it to a chart in order to be able to count cards. The flow method is
much easier to use then that.
You see with the flow method we are still
counting cards very similar to the way they do in "End Play", but we are looking
at the cards in a completely different way. We are not relying on what's left at
the end of the deck but the cards in the first deck and then the second deck ect.
I know, I hear you saying that's impossible, but this is just what I have been able
to do for the last fifteen years.
By looking at the cards as
they come out in a completely different way you will be able to predict the next
card with a very high accuracy, not only what the next card is, but if the next
group of cards will be, good cards or bad cards. This information helps you to decide
whether to raise or lower your bet before the hand begins.
Let me give you an example
of what it is I'm trying to say. Get a pencil and piece of paper. I will explain
why in of minute.
We all know that there are
52 cards in a deck; 32 small cards with a value of less than ten, 16 big cards
with a value of ten and 4 aces. Lets ignore the aces for now. What you have left
is 32 small cards and 16 big cards or exactly twice as many small cards as big cards.
So, if I were to distribute the cards into groups of three evenly, there would be
two small cards and one large card in each three-card group. Now if I stacked all
the groups of three together and dealt them out, what I would get is two small cards
and one big card for every three cards that come out of the deck. In other words,
the cards would be flowing out evenly, according to their ratios.
We all
know that this doesn't happen very often, so for now lets just pretend that,
(after we shuffle the deck of cards I ask you to get), we have stacked the deck
like this.
Now flip the cards over one
at a time. As you flip over the first card, say to yourself small card, flip over
the second card and say small card, now flip over the third card and say large card.
Remember to ignore the aces. Just skip over them and go to the next card.
Now ask yourself did I predict
the first card right. What I mean is, was the first card a small card? If it was
good, don't do anything. If it wasn't a small card, I want you to put a mark on
the paper I had you get. Now the second card, was it a small one like you predicted
it would be? If not, another mark and the same thing with the third card. Was it
the large card you predicted it would be? If not, another mark. Try to keep an accurate
count. Now start over. Flip over the next card and say small Card, flip over another
card and say small card and one more and say large card. Every time the card you
flip over is not the card you predicted it would be, put a mark on the paper.
Continue like this all the
way through the deck. When you get done add up all the times you were wrong about
what the card would be. If you have an extra hundred bucks, I'll bet you that you
got less then 24 wrong. You have to get 24 wrong in order to be wrong 50% of the
time, which using intuitive thinking you would say is about what it should be, but
you got less then 24 wrong, (I know you did). That means you were right more than
50% of the time.
Let's say for example you got
twenty wrong. 52 cards, minus the aces that we didn't count, leaves 48 cards. 100%
divided by 48 = 2.08%. Each card has a value of 2.08% of 100, so twenty times
2.08% equals 41.6% percent. 41.6% of the time you were wrong or 58.4% of the time
you were right. Almost two out of every three Times.
How does
this help you in the casino? Simple, when the brilliant scholar and all around
good guy Edward thorp first developed his card counting system back in the '60's
he found a way to predict when the deck was full of good cards. By knowing when
the deck was full of good cards, he knew when he had a better then average chance
on getting a hand he wouldn't have to hit and chance busting. At these times, he
would bet more and over the long haul, he won more than he lost. However, until
the deck gets hot chances are you will get a bad hand and have to take a hit. The
"flow" system helps you to predict the next card and whether it will help your hand
or hurt it. No other system does this.
The trouble is, most people
mistakenly think they can use "End Play" systems to determine whether to hit, or
not, when they get a bad hand. They don't realize that if the deck has 40 cards
left and 30 of them are good, how do you know that the next ten cards are not going
to be the 10 bad ones all bunched together? You don't. This is known as negative
fluctuations, but the system I've just shown you predicts the next card, not just
what is left in the deck. Knowing whether the next card is a big one or a
small one improves the chances of your winning every hand. You don't have to wait
for the deck to load up.
This is a simplified version
of the method I teach in my book
"Guaranteed Card Counting Secrets"While this is crude and not very
accurate you can see by the marks on the paper it is an effective way of predicting
the next card and that you can make money with it. The complete flow method will
show you how to predict the next card and group of
cards much more accurately, so you know how to bet before the
hand begins, but, for that you have got to buy the book.
You've seen that this
does actually work, so come buy my book, go online to one of the free casinos and
practice this for a while, then when you're ready, win your mortgage payment or
pay for the car.
Good luck to you. For the rest
of you, enjoy the rest of this site. It is very educational and will help you immensely.
My name is Jim Alan and I am the king of card counting and the author of
"Guaranteed Card Counting Secrets".
P. S. If you have any trouble
with this
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get in touch with meand I will help you all I can.